Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 66.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 67.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Staal
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
48.3% (497)
+8.0%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
63.6% (11)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
38.5% (39)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Lorentz is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Staal
Lorentz
Home
58.3% (705)
50.4% (238)
Away
53.3% (769)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Staal
Lorentz
P1
54.5%
49.1%
P2
58.2%
48.0%
P3
54.1%
47.2%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |