Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Lorentz 49.4% (+9.2%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 71.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.6%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 52.8%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Staal
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
48.9% (135)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
50.0% (4)
+1.8%
On even strength, Staal has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Lorentz is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Staal
Lorentz
Home
57.0% (646)
50.7% (75)
Away
59.1% (729)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Staal
Lorentz
P1
55.9%
60.0%
P2
55.4%
46.3%
P3
62.0%
44.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%