Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.3%). Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.7% vs Norris 52.1% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 25-20 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 51.1%
Defensive zone
Norris 53.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 53.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Matthews
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
25
(45 meetings)
20
25
Matthews
Norris
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
7
5
Matthews
Norris
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
8
Matthews
Norris
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
10
12
Matthews
Norris
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (795)
53.4% (635)
-1.2%
Power Play
52.5% (40)
50.0% (70)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (32)
26.3% (19)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Matthews is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Matthews shoots left. Norris is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Matthews
Norris
Home
53.5% (454)
52.7% (366)
Away
50.1% (413)
52.0% (358)
By Period
Matthews
Norris
P1
54.8%
50.4%
P2
52.2%
53.9%
P3
48.1%
52.2%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
51.9%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 18:52 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 25, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |