Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Norris 49.4% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 54.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 63.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 57.9%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Cozens
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Cozens
Norris
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
3
Cozens
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
2
Cozens
Norris
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
2
Cozens
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
49.7% (346)
+2.9%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
47.9% (73)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
42.9% (7)
-9.6%
On power play, Cozens has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. Norris is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Cozens
Norris
Home
54.1% (375)
47.2% (193)
Away
52.3% (331)
51.1% (233)
By Period
Cozens
Norris
P1
55.8%
53.5%
P2
50.6%
47.5%
P3
53.7%
47.4%
Final 5 min
50.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Norris
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |