Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.9% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+13.5%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 65.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 53.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 50.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Norris
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
63.9% (36)
44.7% (1,053)
+19.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
36.8% (95)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
65.0% (20)
-17.6%
On even strength, Norris has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Norris is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Norris shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Norris
MacKinnon
Home
62.2% (37)
49.4% (553)
Away
50.0% (20)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Norris
MacKinnon
P1
64.3%
45.3%
P2
59.1%
42.7%
P3
52.4%
45.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%