Josh Norris vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 55.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Norris
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Norris
MacKinnon
Last 10: Norris 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
7
Norris
MacKinnon
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
1
Norris
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
5
2
Norris
MacKinnon
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,057)
46.1% (11,218)
+6.4%
Power Play
53.7% (404)
53.3% (1,412)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
42.8% (502)
+2.6%
On even strength, Norris has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,309).
Norris shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Norris
MacKinnon
Home
53.1% (1,856)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Norris
MacKinnon
P1
55.6%
47.4%
P2
51.4%
46.6%
P3
50.1%
46.1%
OT
40.5%
48.4%
Final 5 min
53.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 4, 2021 | OT | 00:18 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:04 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |