Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.9% vs Hertl 54.5% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 73.5%
Defensive zone
Norris 65.8%
Neutral zone
Norris 54.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Norris
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
63.9% (36)
54.1% (1,117)
+9.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
59.8% (296)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
34.4% (32)
+13.0%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Norris is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Norris shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Norris
Hertl
Home
62.2% (37)
54.3% (709)
Away
50.0% (20)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Norris
Hertl
P1
64.3%
51.6%
P2
59.1%
53.6%
P3
52.4%
58.6%
Final 5 min
42.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%