Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Hertl 56.8% (-5.4%)
Offensive zone
Norris 50.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 52.8%
Neutral zone
Norris 50.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Norris
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
57.0% (718)
-4.8%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
64.9% (188)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
44.2% (77)
+2.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Norris shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Norris
Hertl
Home
50.7% (351)
59.2% (463)
Away
54.0% (278)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Norris
Hertl
P1
55.6%
56.3%
P2
49.3%
55.4%
P3
52.1%
60.5%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%