Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.5% vs Hayes 50.5% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 63.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 70.6%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 54.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Cirelli
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Cirelli
Hayes
Last 8: Cirelli 4-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
1
Cirelli
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Cirelli
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (192)
50.4% (850)
-7.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.4% (39)
+43.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (21)
50.2% (223)
+6.9%
On power play, Cirelli has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cirelli is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Cirelli shoots left. Hayes is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hayes
Home
48.9% (133)
50.0% (586)
Away
38.3% (81)
51.1% (526)
By Period
Cirelli
Hayes
P1
56.9%
52.3%
P2
38.2%
52.3%
P3
42.5%
47.3%
Final 5 min
56.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |