Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Cirelli wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 52.5% vs Hayes 49.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 61.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 84.0%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 70.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Cirelli
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Cirelli
Hayes
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
2
Cirelli
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
0
Cirelli
Hayes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (748)
50.5% (764)
+2.3%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
53.3% (90)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (171)
38.6% (127)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cirelli is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Cirelli shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hayes
Home
54.5% (466)
49.0% (531)
Away
51.1% (485)
49.6% (450)
By Period
Cirelli
Hayes
P1
48.6%
52.3%
P2
54.8%
45.8%
P3
55.8%
50.2%
OT
41.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 11:52 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |