Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.1% vs Barzal 44.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 70.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 52.1%
Neutral zone
Barzal 51.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Hayes
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Hayes
Barzal
Last 10: Hayes 4-6 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Hayes
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
3
Hayes
Barzal
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
2
Hayes
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (394)
43.3% (314)
+5.4%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
45.5% (33)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
33.3% (3)
+1.0%
On power play, Hayes has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Hayes is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Hayes shoots left. Barzal is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Hayes
Barzal
Home
50.6% (237)
39.9% (168)
Away
47.3% (241)
46.7% (182)
By Period
Hayes
Barzal
P1
43.9%
39.0%
P2
47.3%
49.1%
P3
55.9%
43.3%
OT
75.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
30.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |