Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Barzal 39.3% (+13.8%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 56.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 55.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Hayes
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
35.0% (283)
+13.5%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
55.6% (9)
-2.3%
On even strength, Hayes has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Hayes shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Hayes
Barzal
Home
50.8% (313)
37.0% (138)
Away
48.2% (363)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Hayes
Barzal
P1
52.3%
29.5%
P2
47.7%
44.5%
P3
48.4%
31.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%