Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Barzal 47.4% (+9.8%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 50.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 63.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Hayes
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
42.3% (52)
+9.3%
On even strength, Hayes has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Hayes shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Hayes
Barzal
Home
50.5% (200)
28.0% (25)
Away
53.4% (253)
55.6% (27)
By Period
Hayes
Barzal
P1
58.8%
47.4%
P2
49.3%
45.8%
P3
48.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
56.9%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.3%