Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Barzal 41.4% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 54.7%
Defensive zone
Barzal 65.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.1%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Hayes
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
40.4% (463)
-8.5%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
34.2% (38)
+30.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
28.6% (7)
-28.6%
On power play, Hayes has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Hayes shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Hayes
Barzal
Home
30.6% (49)
38.1% (244)
Away
40.4% (57)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Hayes
Barzal
P1
22.9%
46.6%
P2
40.0%
35.7%
P3
44.4%
37.7%
Final 5 min
30.4%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%