Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Barzal 46.3% (+14.0%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 60.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 68.0%
Neutral zone
Barzal 51.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Hayes
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
43.0% (114)
+13.6%
On even strength, Hayes has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Hayes shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Hayes
Barzal
Home
58.0% (405)
35.8% (53)
Away
56.1% (433)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Hayes
Barzal
P1
54.7%
44.2%
P2
55.7%
38.5%
P3
60.2%
46.9%
Final 5 min
58.9%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
43.0%