Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Carrick 49.5% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 58.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 79.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 65.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Hayes
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayes
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
48.9% (352)
-6.2%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
81.3% (16)
-38.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
42.2% (45)
+3.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +38.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Hayes
Carrick
Home
43.5% (232)
46.9% (192)
Away
42.4% (375)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Hayes
Carrick
P1
40.1%
48.1%
P2
44.8%
50.0%
P3
42.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 08:16 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |