Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Carrick 53.8% (-18.7%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 69.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 80.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Hayes
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
55.1% (439)
-23.2%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
66.7% (3)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
49.1% (53)
-49.1%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Hayes shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Hayes
Carrick
Home
30.6% (49)
58.2% (225)
Away
40.4% (57)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Hayes
Carrick
P1
22.9%
56.7%
P2
40.0%
52.8%
P3
44.4%
54.4%
Final 5 min
30.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%