Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Carrick 49.5% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 77.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 78.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Hayes
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
49.2% (307)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
66.7% (6)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
48.2% (56)
+10.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Hayes shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Hayes
Carrick
Home
50.8% (313)
50.3% (175)
Away
48.2% (363)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Hayes
Carrick
P1
52.3%
41.0%
P2
47.7%
51.2%
P3
48.4%
55.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%