Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.3% vs Jost 42.7% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 70.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 81.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 86.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Hayes
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Hayes
Jost
Last 8: Hayes 6-2 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
2
Hayes
Jost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (764)
36.4% (140)
+14.1%
Power Play
53.3% (90)
66.7% (6)
-13.4%
On even strength, Hayes has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Hayes shoots left. Jost is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Hayes
Jost
Home
49.0% (531)
40.0% (80)
Away
49.6% (450)
34.8% (66)
By Period
Hayes
Jost
P1
52.3%
33.9%
P2
45.8%
45.3%
P3
50.2%
32.4%
Final 5 min
52.7%
30.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
37.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |