Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Jost 45.0% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Jost 50.8%
Defensive zone
Jost 58.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.4%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Hayes
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
39.3% (84)
-7.4%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
0.0% (1)
+64.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (6)
-50.0%
On power play, Hayes has a +64.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Jost is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Hayes
Jost
Home
30.6% (49)
38.5% (52)
Away
40.4% (57)
41.0% (39)
By Period
Hayes
Jost
P1
22.9%
40.6%
P2
40.0%
38.9%
P3
44.4%
39.1%
Final 5 min
30.4%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.6%