Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Jost 40.5% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 83.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 73.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 73.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Hayes
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Hayes
Jost
Last 10: Hayes 6-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Jost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
6
4
Hayes
Jost
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
3
Hayes
Jost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
41.0% (2,014)
+6.5%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
34.2% (73)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
35.3% (255)
+10.0%
On power play, Hayes has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Hayes
Jost
Home
48.1% (3,982)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Hayes
Jost
P1
47.5%
38.5%
P2
47.6%
41.2%
P3
47.9%
40.9%
OT
54.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:56 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 12:28 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |