Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Jost 42.2% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 58.1%
Defensive zone
Jost 69.0%
Neutral zone
Jost 58.1%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Hayes
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hayes
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Hayes
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Hayes
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
40.8% (314)
+1.9%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
37.5% (8)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
39.4% (104)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Jost is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Hayes
Jost
Home
43.5% (232)
42.8% (264)
Away
42.4% (375)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Hayes
Jost
P1
40.1%
37.4%
P2
44.8%
40.5%
P3
42.4%
43.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |