Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Jost 47.3% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 57.4%
Neutral zone
Jost 51.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Hayes
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
45.7% (116)
+5.9%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
37.5% (8)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
50.0% (2)
+10.0%
On power play, Hayes has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Jost is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Hayes
Jost
Home
50.5% (200)
39.7% (68)
Away
53.4% (253)
51.7% (58)
By Period
Hayes
Jost
P1
58.8%
40.5%
P2
49.3%
47.9%
P3
48.0%
47.2%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.2%