Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Jost 45.0% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 52.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 54.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Hayes
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayes
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Hayes
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
43.3% (194)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
25.0% (8)
+40.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Jost is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Hayes
Jost
Home
58.0% (405)
39.7% (78)
Away
56.1% (433)
44.4% (124)
By Period
Hayes
Jost
P1
54.7%
40.5%
P2
55.7%
43.2%
P3
60.2%
44.9%
Final 5 min
58.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |