Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Jost 40.8% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 87.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 51.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 81.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Hayes
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Hayes
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Hayes
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
41.8% (388)
+6.7%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
0.0% (3)
+53.3%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
21.7% (60)
+36.6%
On power play, Hayes has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Jost is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Hayes
Jost
Home
50.8% (313)
42.6% (230)
Away
48.2% (363)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Hayes
Jost
P1
52.3%
43.2%
P2
47.7%
38.2%
P3
48.4%
34.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:56 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |