Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Backlund 50.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 50.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 54.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Eller
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Eller
Backlund
Last 7: Eller 3-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Eller
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
51.5% (983)
-0.4%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
49.4% (87)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
45.3% (159)
-1.7%
On power play, Backlund has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Eller
Backlund
Home
51.2% (510)
51.6% (653)
Away
47.8% (521)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Eller
Backlund
P1
50.7%
50.0%
P2
49.0%
49.8%
P3
48.3%
51.7%
OT
56.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
45.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2021 | OT | 00:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |