Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.9%). Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Thomas 49.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 66.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.9%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Eller
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Eller
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Eller
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
49.0% (910)
+2.1%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
53.5% (142)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
53.3% (75)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Eller
Thomas
Home
51.2% (510)
47.3% (514)
Away
47.8% (521)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Eller
Thomas
P1
50.7%
50.4%
P2
49.0%
47.5%
P3
48.3%
51.4%
OT
56.3%
61.5%
Final 5 min
45.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |