Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Thomas 54.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 60.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 59.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Eller
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eller
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Eller
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
55.3% (990)
-2.5%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
54.2% (190)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
52.5% (158)
-7.0%
On power play, Eller has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Eller shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Eller
Thomas
Home
52.6% (340)
55.1% (690)
Away
51.8% (411)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Eller
Thomas
P1
52.4%
55.5%
P2
54.1%
56.4%
P3
50.0%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
69.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |