Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 52.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Thomas 52.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 68.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 68.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Eller
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eller
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
53.6% (924)
+0.2%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
55.2% (181)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
44.0% (116)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Eller
Thomas
Home
56.4% (486)
53.6% (606)
Away
51.2% (537)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Eller
Thomas
P1
55.1%
48.2%
P2
55.3%
55.3%
P3
51.7%
55.2%
OT
27.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
51.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Lars Eller |