Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 53.1%). Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Thomas 52.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 77.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 74.2%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Eller
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Eller
Thomas
Last 6: Eller 5-1 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Eller
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
53.2% (1,166)
-0.4%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
56.9% (262)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
48.4% (221)
-2.2%
On power play, Eller has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Eller shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Eller
Thomas
Home
54.5% (448)
51.6% (830)
Away
50.2% (484)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Eller
Thomas
P1
52.8%
52.7%
P2
50.9%
55.6%
P3
53.4%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
55.6%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |