Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Thomas 51.6% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 64.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 63.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Eller
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Eller
Thomas
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
6
Eller
Thomas
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
8
0
Eller
Thomas
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
51.1% (5,350)
+0.0%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
55.8% (921)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
49.9% (691)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Eller
Thomas
Home
51.4% (6,118)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Eller
Thomas
P1
51.2%
50.6%
P2
50.1%
52.9%
P3
50.2%
50.8%
OT
56.7%
59.2%
Final 5 min
49.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |