Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 51.9% vs Roy 48.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 85.3%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 69.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 67.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Draisaitl
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Draisaitl
Roy
Last 7: Draisaitl 5-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
1
Draisaitl
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Draisaitl
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (886)
50.6% (176)
+0.9%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
37.5% (8)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (111)
11.1% (9)
+35.7%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Draisaitl shoots left. Roy is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Roy
Home
54.4% (634)
50.0% (88)
Away
49.8% (635)
46.7% (105)
By Period
Draisaitl
Roy
P1
53.8%
57.7%
P2
55.3%
46.6%
P3
48.2%
39.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 26, 2020 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 26, 2020 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |