Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Roy 48.3% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 96.9%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 68.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 87.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Draisaitl
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Draisaitl
Roy
Last 10: Draisaitl 8-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
6
1
Draisaitl
Roy
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
48.3% (633)
+4.1%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
52.1% (48)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
43.7% (87)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Draisaitl shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Roy
Home
54.5% (778)
50.8% (376)
Away
55.3% (692)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Draisaitl
Roy
P1
54.6%
53.8%
P2
56.1%
43.5%
P3
53.3%
46.4%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
54.9%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:47 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |