Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 28 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Roy 48.4% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 35-19 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 97.4%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 81.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 90.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 91.5%
91.5%
8.5%
Draisaitl
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
19
(54 meetings)
35
19
Draisaitl
Roy
Last 10: Draisaitl 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
23
5
Draisaitl
Roy
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
6
10
Draisaitl
Roy
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
6
4
Draisaitl
Roy
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
48.7% (3,719)
+4.2%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
49.5% (283)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
45.5% (477)
+5.7%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Roy
Home
54.6% (7,049)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Draisaitl
Roy
P1
52.7%
50.8%
P2
53.6%
46.3%
P3
53.4%
48.1%
OT
57.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |