Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 24 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Roy 48.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 32-17 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 97.6%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 82.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 91.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 91.8%
91.8%
8.2%
Draisaitl
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
17
(49 meetings)
32
17
Draisaitl
Roy
Last 10: Draisaitl 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
20
4
Draisaitl
Roy
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
6
9
Draisaitl
Roy
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
6
4
Draisaitl
Roy
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (10,077)
48.9% (3,621)
+3.8%
Power Play
55.7% (2,785)
49.3% (276)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (972)
44.9% (463)
+6.4%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (5,039).
Draisaitl shoots left. Roy is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,208).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Roy
Home
54.6% (6,995)
49.5% (2,186)
Away
51.8% (6,839)
47.4% (2,174)
By Period
Draisaitl
Roy
P1
52.6%
51.0%
P2
53.5%
46.1%
P3
53.2%
48.3%
OT
57.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
53.2%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |