Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 55.5% vs Roy 53.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 76.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 85.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Draisaitl
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Draisaitl
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Draisaitl
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (672)
53.9% (449)
+0.4%
Power Play
62.9% (186)
53.3% (30)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (35)
51.3% (78)
+3.0%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Draisaitl shoots left. Roy is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Roy
Home
54.4% (454)
54.9% (293)
Away
57.9% (439)
51.9% (264)
By Period
Draisaitl
Roy
P1
55.2%
55.0%
P2
54.8%
51.7%
P3
57.9%
53.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.1%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |