Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Roy 51.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 83.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 77.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 61.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Draisaitl
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Draisaitl
Roy
Last 7: Draisaitl 4-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
1
Draisaitl
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Draisaitl
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
51.9% (547)
+4.0%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
54.1% (37)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
53.3% (92)
-3.3%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Roy
Home
55.1% (508)
54.0% (328)
Away
58.5% (595)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Draisaitl
Roy
P1
55.8%
53.5%
P2
55.7%
51.6%
P3
59.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |