Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Roy 47.2% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 83.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 61.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 67.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Draisaitl
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Draisaitl
Roy
Last 7: Draisaitl 4-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Draisaitl
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
47.5% (617)
+9.9%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
39.6% (53)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
46.4% (97)
+8.1%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Roy
Home
56.4% (734)
47.2% (398)
Away
57.5% (717)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Draisaitl
Roy
P1
55.6%
48.6%
P2
62.1%
48.8%
P3
52.4%
43.9%
OT
61.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.9%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |