Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Roy 48.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 84.2%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 63.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 74.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Draisaitl
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Draisaitl
Roy
Last 10: Draisaitl 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
2
Draisaitl
Roy
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
3
Draisaitl
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
49.5% (746)
+3.1%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
50.7% (75)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
42.7% (110)
+6.5%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Draisaitl shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Roy
Home
55.5% (816)
47.7% (491)
Away
51.4% (845)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Draisaitl
Roy
P1
51.1%
51.1%
P2
51.6%
44.6%
P3
56.9%
50.9%
OT
57.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
53.4%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |