Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Roy 47.9% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 75.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 75.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Draisaitl
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Draisaitl
Roy
Last 8: Draisaitl 4-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Draisaitl
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Draisaitl
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
48.6% (679)
+5.1%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
48.0% (50)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
34.7% (49)
+23.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Draisaitl shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Roy
Home
55.2% (636)
49.3% (345)
Away
53.4% (560)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Draisaitl
Roy
P1
50.8%
47.6%
P2
56.6%
47.1%
P3
54.0%
47.9%
OT
67.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
54.3%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |