Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 64.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 55.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 53.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
Last 10: Draisaitl 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
8
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
2
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
56.6% (1,064)
-4.0%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
60.4% (260)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
54.0% (261)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Draisaitl shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
Home
55.5% (816)
54.9% (801)
Away
51.4% (845)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
P1
51.1%
58.0%
P2
51.6%
56.7%
P3
56.9%
55.4%
OT
57.1%
64.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |