Leon Draisaitl vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 64 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 101-79 in 180 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 73.8%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 56.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 62.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
79
-
101
(180 meetings)
79
101
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
Last 10: Draisaitl 8-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
45
31
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
76 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
20
44
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
64 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
14
26
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
56.2% (15,260)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
58.8% (3,445)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
51.4% (2,811)
-0.2%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
Home
54.6% (7,049)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
P1
52.7%
55.6%
P2
53.6%
57.0%
P3
53.4%
55.1%
OT
57.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
52.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 00:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 14, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |