Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 66.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 63.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 68.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
Last 8: Draisaitl 2-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
55.0% (1,084)
+2.4%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
56.8% (303)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
40.3% (149)
+14.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Draisaitl shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
Home
56.4% (734)
54.8% (759)
Away
57.5% (717)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
P1
55.6%
55.3%
P2
62.1%
51.9%
P3
52.4%
54.2%
OT
61.5%
64.7%
Final 5 min
55.6%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |