Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 59.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 56.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
Last 10: Draisaitl 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
2
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
56.2% (983)
-2.5%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
55.5% (254)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
52.0% (102)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Draisaitl shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
Home
55.2% (636)
56.2% (697)
Away
53.4% (560)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Draisaitl
O'Reilly
P1
50.8%
54.5%
P2
56.6%
55.5%
P3
54.0%
57.1%
OT
67.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |