Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.7% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (-13.6%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 57.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 73.9%
Neutral zone
Rossi 54.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Rossi
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (21)
45.8% (755)
-12.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
48.3% (60)
-48.3%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Rossi is 20.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Rossi shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Rossi
MacKinnon
Home
30.8% (13)
49.5% (396)
Away
33.3% (9)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Rossi
MacKinnon
P1
33.3%
50.2%
P2
16.7%
43.8%
P3
33.3%
41.4%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
31.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%