Marco Rossi vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.8%). Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings). Rossi wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 50.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 54.0%
Neutral zone
Rossi 58.7%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Rossi
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
16
(28 meetings)
12
16
Rossi
MacKinnon
Last 10: Rossi 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
4
Rossi
MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
5
4
Rossi
MacKinnon
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
8
Rossi
MacKinnon
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
46.1% (11,218)
+0.9%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
53.3% (1,412)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
42.8% (502)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Rossi is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Rossi shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Rossi
MacKinnon
Home
47.8% (1,207)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Rossi
MacKinnon
P1
47.3%
47.4%
P2
44.8%
46.6%
P3
48.3%
46.1%
OT
45.8%
48.4%
Final 5 min
44.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | OT | 01:49 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 11, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:20 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:21 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:04 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |