Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Rossi wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 48.4% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 61.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 60.9%
Neutral zone
Rossi 59.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Rossi
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (139)
44.7% (1,053)
+2.8%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
36.8% (95)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
65.0% (20)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Rossi is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Rossi shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Rossi
MacKinnon
Home
53.2% (47)
49.4% (553)
Away
44.4% (99)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Rossi
MacKinnon
P1
44.4%
45.3%
P2
45.5%
42.7%
P3
53.2%
45.1%
OT
0.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
47.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%