Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 61.5%
Defensive zone
Rossi 59.3%
Neutral zone
Rossi 50.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Rossi
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
50.0% (992)
+2.8%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
64.9% (148)
-28.8%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
34.4% (32)
+2.6%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Rossi shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Rossi
MacKinnon
Home
50.0% (242)
53.3% (591)
Away
51.1% (221)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Rossi
MacKinnon
P1
54.9%
49.9%
P2
48.7%
53.2%
P3
47.9%
50.8%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%