Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Sturm 52.5% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 53.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 51.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.4%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Kastelic
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
54.0% (480)
+2.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
28.6% (7)
+71.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
50.0% (102)
+50.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Kastelic shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Sturm
Home
54.8% (73)
54.0% (287)
Away
63.8% (47)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Kastelic
Sturm
P1
50.0%
53.5%
P2
62.5%
51.0%
P3
60.0%
55.1%
Final 5 min
47.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%