Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 55.9% vs Sturm 55.2% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Sturm 56.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 59.4%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.8%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Kastelic
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (476)
56.1% (716)
+1.9%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
67.7% (31)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (106)
51.1% (133)
-0.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Kastelic shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Sturm
Home
64.9% (265)
55.6% (412)
Away
50.5% (325)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Kastelic
Sturm
P1
58.5%
59.6%
P2
55.6%
52.0%
P3
56.8%
55.5%
Final 5 min
62.6%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%