Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.3% vs Sturm 53.6% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Sturm 55.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 53.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 52.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Kastelic
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (340)
54.6% (271)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (141)
54.4% (90)
+1.6%
On even strength, Kastelic has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Kastelic shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Sturm
Home
60.9% (233)
53.0% (168)
Away
59.1% (254)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Kastelic
Sturm
P1
58.6%
58.2%
P2
58.7%
53.2%
P3
63.1%
52.3%
OT
53.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
67.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%