Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 55.9% vs Zacha 46.5% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 84.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 84.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 84.8%
15.2%
84.8%
Kastelic
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kastelic
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Kastelic
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (476)
45.3% (247)
+12.7%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
58.1% (31)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (106)
22.2% (18)
+28.7%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Kastelic shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Zacha
Home
64.9% (265)
39.7% (131)
Away
50.5% (325)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Kastelic
Zacha
P1
58.5%
42.9%
P2
55.6%
46.4%
P3
56.8%
42.3%
Final 5 min
62.6%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
62.0%▬
62.0%
56.9%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |